2011 1st Quarter Market Update

Below find the 1st quarter (Jan.-Mar.), 2011 housing results, for the Foothills and Oro Valley. I have compared the 1st quarter 2011 results to 2010, to provide an overview of the market’s current condition compared to last year.

Foothills (Jan.-Mar.)

2010 2011
Avg. price $558k $464k
Closings 143 147
Days on Mkt. 130 104
(Source: MLS)

Compared to the 1st quarter of 2010, the average price of homes, in the Foothills, declined 16% while the number of closings rose 2%, during the 1st quarter of 2011. Average days on market was 104, a 20% decline from 2010.

Oro Valley (Jan.-Mar)

2010 2011
Avg. price $343 $286k
Closings 120 132
Days on Mkt. 134 97
(Source: MLS)

Compared to the 1st quarter of 2010, the average price of homes, in Oro Valley, declined 16% while the number of closings rose 10%, during the 1st quarter of 2011. Average days on market was 97, a 27% decline from 2010.

While prices in both the Foothills and Oro Valley have fallen, the quantity and speed of sales has risen, compared to last year. While the future remains unknown, the above results suggests the market is beginning to reach equilibrium.

Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.

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Oro Valley March 2011 Housing Report

As of March 2011 active inventory was 493, an 11% increase from March 2010. There were 53 closings in March 2011, 12% below March 2010. Months of Inventory was 9.3, up from 7.4 in March 2010. Median price of sold homes was $235,000 for the month of March 2011, down 18% from March 2010. Oro Valley had 54 new properties under contract in March 2011, down 31% from March 2010.

Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.

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Foothills March 2011 Housing Report

As of March 2011 active inventory was 759, a 3% increase from March 2010. There were 100 closings in March 2011, 2% below March 2010. Months of Inventory was 7.6, up from 7.2 in March 2010. Median price of sold homes was $285,000 for the month of March 2011, down 19% from March 2010. The North area had 108 new properties under contract in March 2011, up 27% from March 2010.

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Are foreclosures pushing prices down?

The Arizona Daily Star published an excellent article today about falling home prices in Tucson.  According to The Star, the medium price of a home in all of Tucson, dropped 21% in March 2011, compared to March 2010. The medium sale price in March was $125k, down from $157,680 the previous March. The Star’s article noted that bank owned properties (foreclosures) in the lower price range pushed prices down.
 
Interestingly, I noted in a previous post that 1st quarter (Jan-Mar.) average home prices in the Foothills fell 15% in 2011, compared to the 1st quarter of 2010.  Even more interestingly, in the same post I noted that 1st quarter (Jan-mar) average home prices, in Oro Valley, rose 1% in 2011, compared to the 1st quarter of 2010.
 
So why the disparity between Tucson, Oro valley and the Foothills?  Below find the number of current foreclosures (4/14/11), and average price for each area.
 
                                                                        Tucson       OroValley             Foothills
 
 
# of foreclosures                                       899                       19                        43
 
Avg. price of foreclosures                     $117k                    $313                    $284
 
# of total homes for sale                         4939                      450                     670
 
% of home for sale that are                    18%                      4%                     6%
foreclosures
 
Of all the homes currently for sale, Tucson has the greatest % that are foreclosures. Also, the Foothills home market has a greater % of foreclosures for sale than Oro Valley. As these foreclosures push pricing down, it makes sense that prices in all of Tucson would decline more than Oro Valley or the Foothills.
Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.
 
 

Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.

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I just coated my roof before the summer rains!

Alright, for the record I did not coat my roof.  My husband Jeff who is on our roof coating it as I write, is actually doing the work! 

Roof coating in Tucson can extend the overall life of your roof for many years, all while reducing your home’s energy costs.  Roof coating renews the overall surface of the roof by filling in cracks. It is crucial to fill in these cracks before the monsoons arrive. Doing so can save you serious money in the long run and prevent water damage to your roof and home from the monsoon rains.

Jeff decided to coat our roof himself. After some investigation, Jeff found the product he wanted, on sale, at  Tucson Rubberized Coatings. Jeff purchased Cool-Coat white roof coating in 5 gallon (product #310) for $69.99. That’s 30% the regular price.  The sale run through May 15th.

Remember, regular maintenance keeps up the value of your home.  When/if you sell your home buyers will insist on a comprehensive inspection.  Roofs are always included in home inspections.

Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.

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3 Cheers for Catalina Foothills Estates 10!

3 Cheers for Catalina Foothills Estates 10!
 
April 2011, has been a good month for Catalina Foothills Estates 10; a subdivision located in the Foothills off of Hacienda Del Sol.
 
So far, in April 2011, there have been two homes that have sold for more and $1million in all of the Foothills and Oro Valley.  Both were in Catalina Foothills Estates 10!!!
 
4655 Placita Roca Blanca, built in 2007, sold for $1,525,000 ($317/sqft). 3252 E Camino Boscaje, built in 2008, sold for $1,899,900 ($314/sqft).
 
That’s good for the market and very good for Catalina Foothills Estates 10!
 
Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.
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1st $2 million plus home sale in 2011!

Finally some good news for the luxury housing market!  The Tucson area had its first $2 million plus home sale. The home, a foreclosure built in 2009 on 4 acres, is located in Saguaro Ranch in Marana and sold for $2.1 million.  That’s $288/sqft.
 
 
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New homes are becoming a bad deal in weak markets

Bellow find an excellent article, from the AZ Daily Star, about how new homes are often not as good of a deal as exisiting homes in a declining market.

“A new home, the dream of many would-be buyers, makes less and less financial sense in many places.

A wave of foreclosures has driven down the cost of previously occupied homes and made them even more of a comparative bargain. By contrast, new homes have become more expensive.

The median price of a new home in the United States is now 48 percent higher than that of a home being resold, more than three times the gap in a healthy housing market.

Such a disparity can be a drag on the economy. New homes represent a small fraction of sales, but they cause economic ripples, bringing business to construction and other industries. Sluggish new-home sales deprive the economy of strength.

“There’s a relatively small group of people who have the credit, have the down payment and are secure in their jobs that can go out and buy new,” says Mark Vitner, a senior economist with Wells Fargo.

The gap is widening because prices of previously occupied homes are falling fast, pulled down by waves of foreclosures and short sales. A short sale occurs when a lender lets a homeowner sell for less than they owe on their mortgage. New homes aren’t directly affected by such sales.

The median U.S. price of a new home – the price at which half the homes sell for more and half sell for less – has risen almost 6 percent in the past year to $230,600, even though last year was the worst for sales in nearly a half-century.

Slowed by those higher prices, new-home sales have plummeted over the past year to the lowest level since records began being kept in 1963.

By contrast, sales of previously occupied homes have fallen almost 3 percent in the past year. Prices have dropped more than 5 percent. In February, the median U.S. price for a resale was $156,100, says the National Association of Realtors.

That adds up to a price difference of $74,500, or 48 percent, the highest markup in at least a decade. In healthier markets, a new home typically runs about 15 percent more, according to government data.

Home prices and sales still vary sharply among metro areas. Cities with more foreclosures – and Arizona has been hit hard by those – tend to have more resale homes that have languished on the market and are priced at a bargain. That makes new homes in those areas comparatively expensive.

In some areas, older homes were more expensive before the housing market bust.

That was especially true in urban neighborhoods with little or no room left to build on. But now, buyers get their pick even in some of the trendiest places.

Homebuilders have taken notice. Residential construction has all but come to a halt. Builders broke ground last month on the fewest homes in nearly two years. And building permits, a gauge of future construction, sank to their lowest in more than 50 years.

Many builders are waiting for new-home sales to pick up and for the glut of foreclosures and other distressed properties to be reduced.

But with 3 million foreclosures forecast this year nationwide, a turnaround isn’t expected for at least three years.”

Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.

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Where are the newly constructed homes?

I have encountered buyers who want newly constructed homes, built within the last year, and are frustrated that they can’t find any that fit their criteria.

According to the AZ Daily Star, Tucson has lost 48% of its construction jobs since 2007. Obviously this decline, means less homes have been constructed in the past few years. Builders, I have spoken to, say they are hesitant to construct new homes, since many existing homes are selling below replacement costs.

On a positive note, The National Association of Home Builders, said its index of industry sentiment for March 2011 rose. That’s the first increase in five months!

Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.

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Foothills and Oro Valley Luxury Housing Market Update!

Currently there are conflicting indicators, regarding the state of the luxury housing market in the Foothills and Oro Valley

$1 million plus homes sales in the Foothills and Oro Valley

1/01/10 – 3/15/10 1/01/11 – 3/15/11

# Sold: 13 6
Medium price $1,220,000 $1,383,625
Med$/sqft $265 $255
Avg. DOM 160 156

Med$/sqft has dropped 3.7% from last year and less than half the number of homes have sold. On the upside, the medium price is rising. Those who are buying million dollar homes are buying more expensive ones!

Tucson Real Estate Agent, Lisa Bayless, specializes in Tucson Foothills homes and Oro Valley homes.

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